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mso-font-kerning:1.0pt;} 上周比特币价格短暂跌破3万美元，随后在3万美元上方开始震荡反弹，多空暂时平衡，连续横盘调整。从基本面情况来看，各项指标持续恶化，链上交易数甚至创下3年多来新低，最新单日报11.9万，预示着震荡下行趋势尚未结束，下跌风险仍未解除。此外坊间担忧连续下跌引发以太坊DeFi的大规模甚至连环清算，我们就此查询了DeFi债务清算数据。 
上图是以太上的主要抵押物，当价格下跌不同幅度时，预计需要清算的量。截自以太坊2100u的市场时刻，从图中可看到这里占比最大的也是以太坊，并且很明显如果以太价格再跌30%以上即跌到1500u以下，清算量有一个量级的飞升，从短期的市场走势来看，快速跌到1500u引发大规模甚至连环清算的概率极低，况且投资人还会增加质押，但币圈一切皆有可能，要有面对各种极端行情的心理准备。以下是其他数据复盘——
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mso-font-kerning:1.0pt;} 比特币&以太坊链上交易数 
上周比特币链上交易数持续走低再创新低，最高22.8万，最低11.9万。这一数据自2018年2月以来一直缓慢增长，是比特币核心价值的体现，也是比特币市场价格的根本支撑。目前链上交易数反映出比特币向下调整趋势仍未结束。以太坊链上交易数表现相对稳定。
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mso-font-kerning:1.0pt;} 算力数据 
上周比特币矿池算力连续大跌，最新报65.63Ehash/s。算力是比特币的核心基本面之一，决定了多久能够挖出一个比特币区块，对市场价格有直接的影响，也是比特币长线价值的基石。目前算力状况非常不利于比特币企稳止跌。
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mso-font-kerning:1.0pt;} 交易所钱包比特币供应量
目前各大主流交易所共储备154.8万枚比特币，潜在抛压较前周微降。
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mso-font-kerning:1.0pt;} 灰度持仓量 
灰度信托(Grayscale Trust)过去7日减持了249.94枚比特币，过去30日减持了1000.47枚比特币，目前锁仓65.15万枚比特币，GBTC溢价率为-11.73%。
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mso-font-kerning:1.0pt;} USDT溢价率 
出入金通道受限，USDT持续折价，最新报-1.08%。
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mso-font-kerning:1.0pt;} 恐惧&贪婪指数 
恐惧&贪婪指数最新为25，市场情绪仍为极度恐慌。该指数原是一个证券市场指标，又称VIX，由波动性、市场交易量、社交媒体热度、谷歌热词分析等因子组成，阈值为0-100，数值越低表示越恐慌，数值越高表示越贪婪，可用于预警市场潜在风险和仓位增减的参考，即极度恐惧时可能存在买入机会，过度贪婪时意味着市场将出现调整。
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mso-font-kerning:1.0pt;} 搜索指数 
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mso-font-kerning:1.0pt;} 从谷歌过去30天的相关搜索指数来看，比特币新增关注度降至近期低点。 Normal
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mso-font-kerning:1.0pt;} 以上内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。文章发布时比特币价格为34300美元。
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编译者/作者：SwapAll_io
玩币族申明：玩币族作为开放的资讯翻译/分享平台，所提供的所有资讯仅代表作者个人观点，与玩币族平台立场无关，且不构成任何投资理财建议。文章版权归原作者所有。
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